Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Carneiro (Alagoinhas)


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.6
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	4	3.2	1.83
	5.72	3.49	1.64
	4.8	3.4	1.67
	5.4	3.88	1.62
	4.8	3.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.04)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
18%

Draw
26.4%

Atlético Goianiense
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

27.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético Alagoinhas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Atlético de Alagoinhas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético GO is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético GO is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Campinense	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.23	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWLLL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
25.02.23	Iporá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
15.02.23	Atlético Goianiense - Goianésia	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Inhumas - Atlético Goianiense	1:3 ✺
08.02.23	Atlético Goianiense - Morrinhos	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Goiânia - Atlético Goianiense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

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