Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 3

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.52	4.08	6
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.51	3.88	6	Watch
	1.52	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	5.77 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
60.2%

Draw
24%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Santa Cruz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético de Alagoinhas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Alagoinhas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.02.23	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Maguary	1:1 ✺
26.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTTW
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.23	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Itabuna	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Jacobinense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Santa Cruz Recife	1:4
08.05.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:2

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