Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Carneiro (Alagoinhas)


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.88
	4	3.4	1.75
	3.77	3.02	1.93
	4.05	3.18	1.91
	3.75	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	3.22 ↑ (3.04)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
23.6%

Draw
28.1%

Retrô Brasil
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

29.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

28%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Retrô is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético de Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
17.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:3 ✺
10.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LWWTW
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:1 ✺
07.06.23	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.05.23	Retrô Brasil - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1
21.08.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Retrô Brasil	1:1
20.06.21	Retrô Brasil - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:1

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Retrô Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide