The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Retrô Brasil 41.2%
Draw 32.1%
Sergipe 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
28.7%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
30.2%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Retrô Brasil - Sergipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Victor Massaia (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 🟥,
74', 1 - 1, Lira W. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Betinho ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, Betinho ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 3.
Retrô has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sergipe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sergipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Retrô is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Retrô won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
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