Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday
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 |
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 |
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Sergipe |
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Retrô Brasil |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.04 |
2.8 |
4.16 |
|
 |
1.95 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3 |
4.26 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.92) |
2.9 ↓ (3) |
4.01 ↓ (4.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sergipe 46.1% | Draw 31.3% | Retrô Brasil 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Sergipe - Retrô Brasil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1.Sergipe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Retrô has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Sergipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Sergipe is seen as the favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.05.26 | Retrô Brasil - Sergipe | 1:3 | | 08.07.24 | Retrô Brasil - Sergipe | 5:0 | | 11.05.24 | Sergipe - Retrô Brasil | 1:3 | | 18.06.23 | Retrô Brasil - Sergipe | 1:1 | | 07.06.23 | Sergipe - Retrô Brasil | 0:1 | | 29.08.21 | Retrô Brasil - Sergipe | 0:0 | | 13.06.21 | Sergipe - Retrô Brasil | 1:0 |
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