Match Info

Date: 27 June 2022, Monday

Location: Carneiro (Alagoinhas)


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.6	2.65
	2.75	2.7	2.6
	2.9	2.55	2.55
	3.12	2.4	2.67
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.86	2.92	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)	2.66 ↓ (2.79)	2.67 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
32.2%

Draw
33.9%

Santa Cruz Recife
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

34%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Alagoinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Alagoinhas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético de Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Serie D
16.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
22.05.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWLT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
19.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Sergipe - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.05.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:2

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