The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Rafaela 36.5%
Draw 32.1%
Aldosivi 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
31.5%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
31.2%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
27.3%
27.3%
Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Rafaela: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Fuyana J. 6. Jappert K. 3. Oliver F. 8. Capurro J. 5. Fissore M. 7. Aguirre J. 10. Galeano J. 9. Sandoval I. 11. Tomatis B.
1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Godoy F. 8. Pineiro G. 5. Sills J. 7. Sosa A. 10. Alonso A. 9. Colazo A. 11. Lamendola N.
Substitutes
15. Aguero E. 20. Albertengo G. 19. Berrondo A. 16. Bravo I. 12. Grinovero A. (G) 13. Kozlovsky N. 17. Merlino L. 14. Stizza J. 18. Valdivia M.
12. Atamanuk C. (G) 13. Bellon F. 17. Britez E. 20. Cos B. 14. Esponda M. 15. Guerrico I. 19. Guzman N. 16. Lujan S. 18. Torres E.
Coaches
Nardozza F.
Yllana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Capurro J. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
20', Sosa A. 🟨,
22', Nardozza F. 🟨,
22', Sills J. 🟨,
23', Galeano J. 🟨,
23', Yllana A. 🟨,
36', Lamendola N. 🟨,
42', Sandoval I. ↓, Albertengo G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Oliver F. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Colazo A. ⚽,
63', Mottes G. 🟨,
64', Fissore M. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Pineiro G. ⚽,
89', Sosa A. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
90', Lamendola N. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
90+2', Fuyana J. 🟥,
90+9', Bergia M. 🟥,
90+9', Gonzalez R. 🟥,
90+10', Godoy F. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 2.
Atlético de Rafaela has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Aldosivi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atlético de Rafaela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Aldosivi to win the game is with odds 2.96.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.