The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentinos Juniors 80.6%
Draw 14.1%
Atlético de Rafaela 5.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
21%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
17%
12.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-24.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentinos Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 23. Santamaria T. 19. Galvan J. 4. Godoy E. 6. Vega R. 5. Cardozo J. 17. Moyano F. 22. Lescano A. 15. Heredia L. 32. Gondou L. 11. Batallini D.
1. Bergia M. (G) 8. Stizza J. 2. Fuyana J. 4. Kozlovsky N. 6. Colombo R. 3. Wuattier E. 7. Marcellari A. 5. Aguero E. 11. Bravo I. 10. Vidal P. 9. Albertengo G.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez F. 41. Baez F. 14. Coronel K. 24. Diaz M. 36. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 18. Meza F. 7. Montiel S. 20. Prieto S. 9. Romero M. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 29. Viveros E.
14. Aimar M. 13. Jappert K. 23. Luciani V. 16. Merlino L. 22. Ojeda M. 18. Ostertag I. 15. Peralta S. 20. Portillo A. 21. Toldo F. 19. Tomatis B. 12. Turnes I. (G) 17. Varela N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Aguero E. 🟨,
45', Stizza J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bravo I. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
54', Stizza J. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
55', Vidal P. ↓, Toldo F. ↑,
63', Heredia L. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
63', Cardozo J. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
63', Batallini D. ↓, Viveros E. ↑,
66', Albertengo G. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
79', Wuattier E. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
82', Fuyana J. 🟨,
84', Kozlovsky N. 🟨,
86', Godoy E. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
86', Romero M. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Gondou L. ⚽,
90+5', Colombo R. 🟨,
90+8', Colombo R. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 2.
Recent matches Argentinos Juniors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atlético de Rafaela is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético de Rafaela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Argentinos Juniors is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Watch
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Rodriguez D. (G) 
Cardozo J. 
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