Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.77	3.2	4.6
	1.78	3.25	4.75
	1.8	3.23	5.24
	1.81	3.23	5.24
	1.8	3.25	4.6
	1.8	3.28	4.61
	1.77	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.29 ↓ (3.46)	4.76 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
52.1%

Draw
28.3%

Club Almagro
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	45.5%	0%

Aldosivi - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Sills J. 7. Lujan S. 8. Sosa A. 11. Lamendola N. 10. Torres E. 9. Colazo A.	1. Champagne N. (G) 4. Basualdo N. 2. Molina M. 6. Falabella L. 3. Gancedo M. 8. Orlando J. 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Silva G. 11. Punet L. 7. Leal L. 9. Dornell T.
Substitutes
13. Alonso A. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Esponda M. . Godoy F. 16. Guzman N. 17. Iniguez E. . Juarez Y. G. . Pineiro G. 20. Varaldo L.	14. Aguilar J. J. 12. Barrionuevo L. (G) 18. Conechny R. 19. Giacone J. C. 13. Mattia F. 20. Obredor G. 15. Puca D. 17. Vasquez D. 16. Vedoya F.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Sparapani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Falabella L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Torres E. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
62', Punet L. ↓, Puca D. ↑,
62', Orlando J. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
68', Guerrico I. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Lamendola N. ⚽,
71', Lujan S. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
73', Silva G. ↓, Vedoya F. ↑,
84', Jerez Silva L. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
84', Dornell T. ↓, Giacone J. C. ↑,
89', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
89', Lamendola N. ↓, Godoy F. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Recent matches Aldosivi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almagro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almagro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aldosivi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Aldosivi - Temperley	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo Morón - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Aldosivi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTW
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.24	Club Almagro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Colón - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Club Almagro - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.18	Aldosivi - Club Almagro	3:1
07.10.17	Aldosivi - Club Almagro	1:3

Upcoming Matches