Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 27 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.87
	2.27	2.85	3.88
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.14	3.1	3.47	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
43.4%

Draw
30.6%

Aldosivi
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Defensores de Belgrano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Defensores de Belgrano - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Massaccesi A. 6. Martinez L. 2. De Tomasso J. 3. Sanchez S. 8. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 10. Salto C. 11. Gomez B. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Aquilino G.	1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Godoy F. 5. Sills J. 7. Sosa A. 8. Pineiro G. 11. Lamendola N. 9. Colazo A. 10. Alonso A.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Colazo A. ⚽,
17', Sanchez S. ↓, Barbero M. ↑,
34', Sills J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Pineiro G. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
51', Martinez L. 🟨,
51', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
57', Gomez B. ↓, Pereyra F. ↑,
61', Alonso A. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
61', Sosa A. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
63', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, Colazo A. ⚽,
72', Aquilino G. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
73', Benitez A. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
83', Lamendola N. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', Lamendola N. ↓, Torres E. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Defensores de Belgrano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aldosivi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensores de Belgrano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Colón	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.24	Aldosivi - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Aldosivi - Temperley	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo Morón - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTLT

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