Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Atlético de Rafaela		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.63	3.1	Watch
	2.6	2.55	3
	2.7	2.6	3.1
	2.91	2.6	3.25
	2.86	2.48	3.21	Watch
	2.6	2.7	3
	2.68	2.63	3.02	Watch
	2.7	2.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.34)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)	3.1 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
34.2%

Draw
35.8%

Chaco For Ever
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

34%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

35.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Rafaela's form might have worsened.

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 4. Stizza J. 2. Oliver F. 6. Jappert K. 3. Wuattier E. 11. Valdivia M. 5. Capurro J. 8. Damiano J. 7. Aguirre J. 10. Albertengo L. 9. Sandoval I.	1. Canuto G. (G) 4. Romero M. 2. Valdez D. 6. Leyendeker M. 3. Silvera M. 8. Iritier J. 5. Velez R. 10. Lucero G. 11. Lapetina L. 7. Canete G. 9. Enriquez I.
Substitutes
18. Berrondo A. 12. Bilbao E. (G) 13. Colombo R. 16. Fissore M. 15. Kozlovsky N. 17. Merlino L. 14. Navarro G. 19. Tomatis B. 20. Vidal P.	20. Dellarossa J. 18. Gonzalez D. 12. Ledesma L. (G) 15. Nievas B. 19. Nunez C. 17. Obregon B. 16. Paz L. 14. Perinciolo F. 13. Tamborelli E.
Coaches
Juarez I.	Pancaldo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Iritier J. 🟨,
45', Damiano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valdez D. ↓, Perinciolo F. ↑,
46', Damiano J. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
46', Lucero G. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
46', Albertengo L. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
55', Silvera M. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Enriquez I. ⚽,
64', Berrondo A. 🟨,
67', Iritier J. ↓, Nievas B. ↑,
71', Stizza J. ↓, Colombo R. ↑,
71', Valdivia M. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
73', Canete G. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
75', Enriquez I. 🟨,
80', Wuattier E. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
83', Enriquez I. ↓, Tamborelli E. ↑,
83', 🟨,
87', (Pen),
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Albertengo L. 🟨,
90+4', Leyendeker M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atlético Rafaela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Club Almagro	2:3 ✺
11.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Temperley	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Deportivo Morón - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLWT
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.24	Chaco For Ever - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Chaco For Ever - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Chaco For Ever - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.24	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0
01.10.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Chaco For Ever	1:3
20.05.23	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1
04.09.22	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0

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