The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 46.2%
Draw 31.8%
Atlético de Rafaela 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
25.2%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
23.9%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Morón's form might have worsened.
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Morón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Deportivo Morón - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 4. Arciero R. 2. Gomez A. 6. Moreyra F. 3. Henry N. 8. Gonzalez G. 5. Garcia B. 10. Disanto L. 11. Bracamonte M. 7. Berterame G. 9. Sala S. G.
1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Fuyana J. 2. Navarro G. 6. Jappert K. 3. Valdivia M. 8. Pardo M. 5. Capurro J. 7. Aguirre J. 10. Galeano J. 9. Dichiara R. 11. Vidal P.
Substitutes
19. Barrientos F. 16. Castro M. 17. Curruhinca A. 13. Lazza E. 18. Romero M. S. 12. Rufinetti A. 20. Schonfeld M. 15. Ulibarri S. 14. Vaquero I. M.
15. Aguero E. 12. Bergia M. (G) 18. Berrondo A. 13. Colombo R. 17. Merlino L. 16. Stizza J. 20. Toldo F. 19. Tomatis B. 14. Wuattier E.
Coaches
Diaz C.
Nardozza F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Pardo M. 🟨,
14', Disanto L. 🟨,
17', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
26', Navarro G. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Dichiara R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Garcia B. 🟨,
54', Sala S. G. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
54', Disanto L. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Bilbao E. (Own goal),
63', Gomez A. ↓, Barrientos F. ↑,
72', Pardo M. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
76', Valdivia M. 🟨,
80', Gonzalez G. ↓, Curruhinca A. ↑,
80', Berterame G. ↓, Schonfeld M. ↑,
85', Vidal P. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
85', Galeano J. ↓, Aguero E. ↑,
90+5', Romero M. S. 🟨,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 3.
Recent matches Deportivo Morón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético de Rafaela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Deportivo Morón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Deportivo Morón will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Morón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Argentina
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Navarro G. 
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