Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.25	5	Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.9
	1.8	3.05	4.85	Watch
	1.87	3.15	5.46
	1.91	2.78	5.53	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.82	2.86	5.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)	2.98 ↑ (2.74)	4.94 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
49.9%

Draw
31.3%

Chaco For Ever
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

34.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

33.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano's performance.

Chaco For Ever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. Perez A. 6. Vaquer N. 3. Sanchez F. 5. Jerez Silva L. 8. De Tomasso J. (C) 10. Benitez A. 11. Ciccolini L. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Dellarossa J.	1. Caprio N. (G) 4. Luque A. 2. Valdez D. 6. Garay R. 3. Ojeda A. 8. Carrizo J. 5. Nievas B. 11. Lioi A. 7. Alonso A. 9. Pacheco E. 10. Marinucci L.
Substitutes
17. Aquilino G. 13. Gamarra G. 18. Garcia D. 15. Gutierrez I. 14. Magallanes D. 19. Moyano P. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 16. Perez I. 20. Tcherkaski F.	12. Canuto G. (G) 19. Enriquez I. 18. Espejo L. 15. Garcia B. 17. Guerra Brian 20. Melgarejo G. 14. Mihovilcevich L. 16. Valenzuela S. 13. Zules Caicedo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Carrizo J. 🟨,
42', Garay R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Dellarossa J. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
60', Ciccolini L. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
67', Sanchez F. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
68', Benitez A. ↓, Magallanes D. ↑,
68', Gomez B. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
68', Alonso A. ↓, Melgarejo G. ↑,
74', Ojeda A. 🟨,
77', Lioi A. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
77', Marinucci L. ↓, Valenzuela S. ↑,
85', Pacheco E. ↓, Espejo L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Defensores has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Chaco For Ever has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chaco For Ever may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Defensores is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.26	Chaco For Ever - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chaco For Ever - All Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever	0:0
12.05.25	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0
11.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever	0:0
25.03.24	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0
07.08.22	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0

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