Match Info

I Lyga - Round 19

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		FA Šiauliai B

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.80	6.75
	1.33	4.70	6.50
	1.28	5.06	7.16
	1.43	4.51	5.81
	1.30	4.85	6.65
	1.32	4.80	7.39
	1.3	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	4.82 ↓ (5.1)	6.75 ↓ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
67.9%

Draw
18.7%

FA Šiauliai B
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

17.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

12.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

FA Šiauliai B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atmosfera Mažeikiai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 4.

Atmosfera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

FA Šiauliai B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atmosfera is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 3.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30
15	Siauliai 2	25	4	5	16	27:56	-29	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
01.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- FA Šiauliai B
Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.26	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	FA Šiauliai B - Tauras Tauragė	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
21.03.26	FA Šiauliai B - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:4
09.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	4:1
06.04.25	FA Šiauliai B - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2
05.10.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	2:3
19.05.24	FA Šiauliai B - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:5
12.08.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	2:1

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