Match Info

PARAGUAY: DIVISION INTERMEDIA - ROUND 28

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Atyrá		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2.97	3.23	2.16
	3.04	3.25	2.15
	3	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.73)	3.23 ↑ (3.01)	2.18 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrá
30.2%

Draw
28.1%

Rubio Ñu
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rubio Ñu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrá than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rubio Ñu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Atyrá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rubio Ñu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rubio Ñu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rubio Ñu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atyrá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atyrá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atyrá FC
Copa Paraguay
21.09.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Atyrá	3:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.09.23	24 de Setiembre - Atyrá	5:0 ✺
11.09.23	Atyrá - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
01.09.23	2 de Mayo - Atyrá	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Atyrá - Martín Ledesma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTL
- Rubio Ñu
Copa Paraguay
21.09.23	Martín Ledesma - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.09.23	Rubio Ñu - Pastoreo	2:2 ✺
08.09.23	Deportivo Santaní - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
04.09.23	Rubio Ñu - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
29.08.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.06.23	Rubio Ñu - Atyrá	2:3
09.10.22	Atyrá - Rubio Ñu	0:2
01.07.22	Rubio Ñu - Atyrá	1:0
18.07.21	Rubio Ñu - Atyrá	0:3
11.04.21	Atyrá - Rubio Ñu	0:0

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