Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Gregor (Asunción)


	Deportivo Recoleta		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.19	3.2	3.87
	2.24	3.34	3.15	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.05	3.38	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.7)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	3.43 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
43.8%

Draw
29%

Rubio Ñu
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Recoleta's performance.

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubio Ñu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Recoleta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubio Ñu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rubio Ñu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ferreira N. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 3. Cardozo L. (C) 28. Mendoza L. 33. Gonzalez A. 7. Dominguez R. 38. Franco A. 18. Rios P. 9. Ortiz R. 29. Wlk A.	25. Fragueda F. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 33. Alborno R. 35. Montiel L. 24. Gomez L. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. (C) 36. Gimenez C. 40. Perez E. 21. Sarquis E.
Substitutes
17. Baez W. 20. Canete M. 6. Espinola J. 37. Falcon J. 21. Garay C. 19. Lopez H. 1. Marsengo A. (G) 15. Medina B. 25. Mosquera D. 23. Nunez J. 4. Pereira M. 24. Vidal T.	29. Alfonso O. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 30. Ayala P. 13. Cabanas V. 19. Frean S. 11. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 4. Gonzalez J. 28. Leguizamon A. 38. Manzur G. 37. Roldan M. 22. Tales (G) 18. Villagra C.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Morinigo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟥,
32', Montiel L. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendoza L. ↓, Garay C. ↑,
46', Dominguez R. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
66', Wlk A. ↓, Vidal T. ↑,
68', Sarquis E. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
79', Perez E. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
79', Alborno R. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
79', Gomez L. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
82', Vallejos J. 🟨,
90', Ortiz R. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
90', Gonzalez A. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
90+5', Echeguren Zarza F. A. 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Recoleta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rubio Ñu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLTW
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.01.26	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.07.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	2:0
29.08.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:3

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