Match Info

PARAGUAY: DIVISION INTERMEDIA - ROUND 20

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday


	Atyrá		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.68
	3.9	3.5	1.72
	3.93	3.56	1.74
	4.3	3.68	1.72
	5.4	3.7	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.53)	3.59 ↑ (3.18)	1.68 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrá
20.8%

Draw
25.2%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.3%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.5%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrá than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Atyrá - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atyrá will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sportivo San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sportivo San Lorenzo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atyrá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atyrá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atyrá FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
30.07.23	Fernando de la Mora - Atyrá	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Atyrá - Deportivo Santaní	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Colegiales - Atyrá	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Atyrá	4:2 ✺
24.06.23	Atyrá - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.07.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Pastoreo	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.07.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.07.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Colegiales	4:0 ✺
08.07.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.05.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Atyrá	2:2
18.09.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Atyrá	3:0
11.06.22	Atyrá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0

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