Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 28

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.56	3.6	5.3
	1.57	3.63	5.63
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.54	3.64	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.4)	3.61 ↓ (3.98)	5.63 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
58.8%

Draw
25.1%

Colegiales
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

21.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Colegiales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Duarte J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Ortega J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, Gallardo O. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.09.24	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
09.09.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
29.08.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Santaní	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTWW
- CA Colegiales Paraguay
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.09.24	Colegiales - Independiente Asuncion	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Resistencia - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Deportivo Santaní - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Colegiales - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
05.09.24	Colegiales - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.06.24	Colegiales - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:3
16.07.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Colegiales	4:0
09.04.23	Colegiales - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1
17.07.22	Colegiales - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1

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