Match Info

National - Round 24

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Aubagne		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.68
	2.74	3.25	2.75
	2.65	3.08	2.56
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.65	3.11	2.7	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.86)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	2.58 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
34.7%

Draw
29.7%

Fleury 91
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fleury 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Aubagne - Fleury 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aubagne will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fleury will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gil J. (G) 13. Abdallah M. 5. Chibani N. 26. Nehari M. (C) 34. El Kaddouri B. 4. Diaby A. 28. Bentoumi M. 17. Ndiaye O. 15. Mimb Baheng R. 8. Rocchia C. 14. Mayilla E.	40. Alette G. (G) 23. Bovis E. (C) 21. Tchouatcha J. 6. Lefebvre G. 4. Vogt Q. 26. Karamoko H. 5. Aubourg H. 20. Hervieu L. 19. Farade K. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 17. Lavigne V.
Substitutes
10. Boudraa S. 27. Daou R. 12. M'Dahoma K. 18. Oudjani A. 9. Tlili K.	27. Gannoun K. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 7. Lambese S. 8. Leleve R. 9. Rivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Karamoko H. 🟨,
16', Bovis E. 🟨,
21', Abdallah M. 🟨,
31', Diaby A. 🟨,
39', Mimb Baheng R. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Farade K. ⚽, Hervieu L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ndiaye O. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
46', Mimb Baheng R. ↓, M'Dahoma K. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, El Kaddouri B. (Penalty Awarded),
53', 1 - 2, Rocchia C. (Own goal),
63', Aubourg H. ↓, Leleve R. ↑,
63', Tchouatcha J. ↓, Jean-Pierre M. ↑,
63', Lavigne V. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
69', Rocchia C. ↓, Boudraa S. ↑,
75', Bovis E. ↓, Lambese S. ↑,
75', Chibani N. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
84', Farade K. ↓, Gannoun K. ↑,
90+3', Mayilla E. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
90+4', Gannoun K. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Aubagne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fleury-Merogis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	3	12
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
27.02.26	Versailles - Aubagne	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Aubagne - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Concarneau - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Villefranche - Aubagne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
27.02.26	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:4 ✺
17.02.26	Stade Briochin - Fleury 91	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Caen - Fleury 91	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Fleury 91 - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Fleury 91 - Aubagne	0:2

Aubagne - Fleury 91: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide