Match Info

National - Round 20

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Caen		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.15	2.72
	2.63	3.22	2.79
	2.5	3.09	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.51	3.02	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.97)	3.08 ↓ (3.21)	2.71 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
36.4%

Draw
29.8%

Fleury 91
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.

Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleury 91's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Caen - Fleury 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Fleury will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Caen (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 17. Labonne R. 23. Morante L. 28. Sagnan S. 3. Bolumbu D. 31. Kimboma J. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 14. Rajot L. 11. Gnanduillet A. 9. Duville-Parsemain A. 19. Botella I.	40. Alette G. (G) 6. Lefebvre G. 4. Vogt Q. 26. Karamoko H. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 5. Aubourg H. 20. Hervieu L. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 22. Badin C. (C) 9. Rivas J. 19. Farade K.
Substitutes
5. Dali Amar B. 26. Etuin M. 22. Hafid M. 12. Mazie O. 24. Milliner L.	23. Bovis E. 27. Gannoun K. 28. Homssa N. 17. Lavigne V. 3. Plisson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Vogt Q. 🟨,
33', Kimboma J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Gnanduillet A. ⚽, Botella I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Aubourg H. 🟥,
66', 🟨,
66', Kimboma J. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
66', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Hafid M. ↑,
67', Badin C. ↓, Homssa N. ↑,
67', Farade K. ↓, Lavigne V. ↑,
77', Rajot L. 🟨,
80', Lefebvre G. ↓, Bovis E. ↑,
80', Le Mehaute Y. ↓, Gannoun K. ↑,
80', Rivas J. ↓, Plisson T. ↑,
83', Gnanduillet A. ↓, Mazie O. ↑,
83', Rajot L. ↓, Etuin M. ↑,
90+1', Botella I. ↓, Dali Amar B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Caen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Caen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
30.01.26	Versailles - Caen	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Caen - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Concarneau - Caen	3:3 ✺
05.12.25	Villefranche - Caen	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Caen - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTW
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
30.01.26	Fleury 91 - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Le Puy - Fleury 91	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Fleury 91 - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Valenciennes - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
29.08.25	Fleury 91 - Caen	1:2

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