Match Info

National - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Bobin (Bondoufle)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fleury 91		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.05	3.37	3.82
	1.95	3.34	3.58
	1.95	3	3.4
	1.95	3.2	3.65	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleury 91
46%

Draw
28.5%

Concarneau
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleury 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Fleury 91 - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fleury will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Concarneau will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleury: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Alette G. (G) 6. Lefebvre G. 26. Karamoko H. 2. Colombo F. 3. Plisson T. 20. Hervieu L. 22. Badin C. (C) 17. Lavigne V. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 9. Rivas J. 27. Gannoun K.	1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 26. Sinquin T. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 3. Inquel S. 23. Goujon L. 10. Gbelle G. 8. Picouleau M. 18. Da Silva F. 21. Baldoni S.
Substitutes
14. Belliard M. 23. Bovis E. 11. Sylla S. 21. Tchouatcha J. 4. Vogt Q.	19. Amede Kabongo R. 5. Etcheverria B. 20. Ntumi M. 40. Patron P. (G) 7. Varvat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Badin C. ↓, Bovis E. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Da Silva F. ⚽, Inquel S. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Goujon L. ⚽, Baldoni S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 3, Baldoni S. ⚽, Halby J. (A),
52', Rivas J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 4, Baldoni S. ⚽, Gbelle G. (A),
58', Gannoun K. ↓, Belliard M. ↑,
58', Colombo F. ↓, Vogt Q. ↑,
58', Hervieu L. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
71', Seba D. 🟨,
74', Plisson T. ↓, Tchouatcha J. ↑,
74', Baldoni S. ↓, Ntumi M. ↑,
76', Da Silva F. ↓, Etcheverria B. ↑,
84', Halby J. ↓, Varvat J. ↑,
85', Gbelle G. ↓, Amede Kabongo R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Fleury-Merogis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Concarneau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Concarneau has had a series of home games.

Fleury-Merogis could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleury-Merogis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Fleury-Merogis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
17.02.26	Stade Briochin - Fleury 91	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Caen - Fleury 91	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Fleury 91 - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
20.02.26	Concarneau - Versailles	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Concarneau - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Concarneau - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Concarneau - Caen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
19.09.25	Concarneau - Fleury 91	0:1
French National 1 - Group D
28.05.16	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:0

Fleury 91 - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide