Match Info

National - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Marseille Provence
World	FIFA+


	Aubagne		Stade Briochin

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.45	2.45
	2.67	3.69	2.54
	2.57	3.39	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.38
	2.54	3.42	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)	3.45 ↑ (3.06)	2.44 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
35.9%

Draw
26.5%

Stade Briochin
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Stade Briochin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Briochin than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aubagne - Stade Briochin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aubagne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stade Briochin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nouichi M. (G) 13. Abdallah M. 26. Nehari M. (C) 15. Mimb Baheng R. 8. Rocchia C. 4. Diaby A. 7. El Asrar M. 28. Bentoumi M. 9. Tlili K. 34. El Kaddouri B. 14. Mayilla E.	30. L'Hostis F. (G) 4. Angoua B. 5. Boudin H. (C) 13. Diaby Malick A. 17. Diakhaby B. 6. Beghin G. 22. Achahbar K. 10. Yobe L. 11. Janno S. 7. Zakharyan A. 21. Faty M.
Substitutes
31. Ahamada S. 21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 36. Curis I. 33. Madi K. 6. Tafni A.	25. Benhaim J. 33. Beurel F. 8. Diakite M. 29. Konan C. 3. Rouille L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Nehari M. (Own goal),
11', 1 - 1, Tlili K. ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Zakharyan A. (Penalty Awarded),
45', El Kaddouri B. 🟨,
45+1', Beghin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mayilla E. ↓, Tafni A. ↑,
46', El Asrar M. ↓, Ahamada S. ↑,
61', Yobe L. 🟨,
65', Diakhaby B. 🟨,
68', Tlili K. 🟨,
70', Janno S. ↓, Konan C. ↑,
77', Diaby Malick A. 🟨,
78', Tlili K. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Diaby A. ↓, Madi K. ↑,
86', Bentoumi M. 🟨,
86', Konan C. 🟨,
88', El Kaddouri B. ↓, Curis I. ↑,
89', Abdallah M. ↓, Ali Hamidou N. D. ↑,
89', Achahbar K. ↓, Benhaim J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Aubagne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stade Briochin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
24.04.26	Rouen FC - Aubagne	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Aubagne - Orleans	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Le Puy - Aubagne	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Aubagne - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Valenciennes - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWTT
- Stade Briochin
French Ligue 3
24.04.26	Stade Briochin - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Stade Briochin - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Caen - Stade Briochin	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Stade Briochin - Paris 13 Atletico	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Stade Briochin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Stade Briochin - Aubagne	1:3

Aubagne - Stade Briochin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide