The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rouen FC 58.7%
Draw 24.4%
Aubagne 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
23%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
21.6%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rouen FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Rouen FC - Aubagne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Maraval A. (G) 5. Gaspar J. 22. Mendy F. 15. Lamgahez Z. 18. Bassin C. (C) 13. Camara B. 10. Karamoko I. 28. Pacius W. 19. Tramoni L. 12. Toure A. 9. Tchokounte M.
1. Toure I. (G) 24. Ahamada S. 5. Doucoure R. 26. Nehari M. (C) 23. Aradj Y. 6. Tafni A. 22. Bouaziz W. 27. Sahraoui J. 18. Oudjani A. 10. Cisse K. 17. Porsan Clemente J.
Substitutes
3. Borne M. 30. Desprez D. (G) 25. Diaby S. 8. Egny G. 11. Sommer N. 21. Traore S. 29. Viana J.
21. Ahamadi M. 32. Assoumani M. 20. Bellebrahim A. 19. Doukansy B. 16. Moreira T. (G) 11. Tafni B. 9. Zemoura Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽, Karamoko I. (A),
36', Toure I. 🟥,
43', Porsan Clemente J. ↓, Moreira T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Lamgahez Z. 🟨,
55', Karamoko I. 🟨,
72', Tramoni L. ↓, Sommer N. ↑,
72', Karamoko I. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
72', Pacius W. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
80', Aradj Y. ↓, Bellebrahim A. ↑,
81', Bouaziz W. ↓, Tafni B. ↑,
84', Sahraoui J. ↓, Zemoura Y. ↑,
84', Oudjani A. ↓, Doukansy B. ↑,
87', Tchokounte M. ↓, Viana J. ↑,
Preview
This match features the league leader against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 16th in the Relegation).
Rouen FC is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aubagne has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rouen FC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Rouen FC is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Rouen FC in today's match, at odds of 1.57.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Rouen FC has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rouen FC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).