Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	FC Bayern TV


	Aubstadt		Bayern Munich II

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.8	2.35
	2.76	3.75	2.31
	2.36	3.68	2.42
	2.34	3.68	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.07)	3.73 ↓ (4)	2.38 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
36.8%

Draw
24.6%

Bayern Munich II
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

23%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

22.1%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aubstadt's performance.

Bayern Munich II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Munich II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aubstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich II than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern II (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Pitter T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Heindl D. ⚽,
57', Heinze L. 🟨,
65', Nickel M. 🟥,
66', 1 - 2, Heinz A. (Pen),
84', 1 - 3, Darboe B. ⚽,
86', Dalpiaz M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 1.

In recent matches, Aubstadt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayern II is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bayern II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayern II has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubstadt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
11.10.25	Eichstätt - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Aubstadt - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Aubstadt - Illertissen	3:5 ✺
20.09.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLL
- Bayern Munich II
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.25	Ansbach - Bayern Munich II	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bayern Munich II - Würzburger Kickers	1:3 ✺
23.09.25	Vilzing - Bayern Munich II	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Bayern Munich II	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Memmingen - Bayern Munich II	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.04.25	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	2:1
13.09.24	Bayern Munich II - Aubstadt	2:2
12.04.24	Bayern Munich II - Aubstadt	1:1
30.09.23	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	0:0
28.04.23	Bayern Munich II - Aubstadt	4:2
03.10.22	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	2:0
07.05.22	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	0:1

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