Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:


	Auckland United		Ferrymead Bays

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Auckland United
53.8%

Draw
22.5%

Ferrymead Bays
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

20.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ferrymead Bays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Ferrymead could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Auckland United is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland United
New Zealand National League Women
10.10.26	Auckland FC 2 - Auckland United	2:2 ✺
New Zealand National League
03.10.26	Auckland United - Napier City Rovers	7:1 ✺
25.09.26	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland United	1:1 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
25.07.26	Nelson Suburbs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Auckland United - Cambridge	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLW
- Ferrymead Bays
New Zealand National League
09.10.26	Ferrymead Bays - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
02.10.26	Wellington Olympic - Ferrymead Bays	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Ferrymead Bays - Eastern Suburbs	0:0 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
05.07.24	Ferrymead Bays - Coastal Spirit	3:5 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland United
New Zealand National League Women
31.10.26	Auckland United - Eastern Suburbs	✺

Auckland United - Ferrymead Bays