Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Keith Hay Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand


	Auckland United		Napier City Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.70	2.30
	2.38	3.55	2.35
	2.5	3.93	2.44
	2.44	4.01	2.44	Watch
	2.45	3.85	2.3
	2.4	3.96	2.5
	2.38	3.65	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.46)	3.81 ↓ (4.05)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland United
37.7%

Draw
24%

Napier City Rovers
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

23.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Napier City Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Auckland United - Napier City Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 4 - 1, ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 7 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Auckland United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Auckland United has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Auckland United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Auckland United	2	1	1	0	8:2	6	4
8	Napier City	2	0	1	1	2:8	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland United
New Zealand National League
25.09.26	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland United	1:1 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
25.07.26	Nelson Suburbs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Auckland United - Cambridge	3:1 ET ✺
New Zealand National League
06.12.25	Auckland FC 2 - Auckland United	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Auckland United - Wellington Olympic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLWLL
- Napier City Rovers
New Zealand National League
26.09.26	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	1:1 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
15.08.26	Cashmere Technical - Napier City Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Petone - Napier City Rovers	0:4 ✺
05.07.25	Napier City Rovers - Wellington Olympic	2:3 ✺
New Zealand National League
22.11.24	Wellington Olympic - Napier City Rovers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
17.11.23	Auckland United - Napier City Rovers	3:3
25.11.22	Auckland United - Napier City Rovers	3:2

Auckland United - Napier City Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide