Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: National League - Championship Group - Round 9

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Wakefield Park (Wellington)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Wellington Olympic		Napier City Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.8	3.1
	1.83	4	3.3
	1.9	4.26	3.18
	1.87	4.39	3.3	Watch
	1.84	3.98	3.29
	1.83	4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.5)	4.07 ↑ (3.49)	3.25 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Olympic
49.3%

Draw
22.5%

Napier City Rovers
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.2%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Olympic's performance.

Napier City Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napier City Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Olympic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Olympic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napier City Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napier City Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wellington Olympic - Napier City Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wellington Olympic will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Mata B. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 4).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wellington Olympic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wellington Olympic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wellington Olympic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Wellington Olympic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Olympic
New Zealand National League
16.11.24	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Wellington Olympic	3:1 ✺
08.11.24	Wellington Olympic - Western Suburbs	4:1 ✺
01.11.24	Wellington Olympic - Birkenhead United	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Western Springs - Wellington Olympic	2:3 ✺
18.10.24	Cashmere Technical - Wellington Olympic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWT
- Napier City Rovers
New Zealand National League
16.11.24	Napier City Rovers - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Coastal Spirit - Napier City Rovers	1:3 ✺
01.11.24	Napier City Rovers - Cashmere Technical	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Western Suburbs - Napier City Rovers	2:4 ✺
18.10.24	Birkenhead United - Napier City Rovers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
29.09.23	Wellington Olympic - Napier City Rovers	7:1
28.10.22	Napier City Rovers - Wellington Olympic	2:5

Wellington Olympic - Napier City Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide