Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)


	Auda Riga		B36 Torshavn

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.87	3.6	4
	1.88	3.62	3.9	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.75
	1.89	3.56	3.92	Watch
	1.84	3.7	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.37)	3.6 ↓ (4.33)	3.81 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
49.9%

Draw
25.7%

B36 Torshavn
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

18.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auda Riga's form might have worsened.

B36 Torshavn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting B36 Torshavn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auda Riga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for B36 Torshavn than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for B36 Torshavn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	4.8%	66.7%

Auda Riga - B36 Torshavn Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 5 - 25%). B36 Torshavn will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for B36 Torshavn: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zviedris K. (C) 2. Hrvoj T. 15. Ouedraogo M. 37. Bosancic P. 49. Tavares B. 21. Melniks D. 70. Talla M. 11. Ogunniyi A. 7. Clemente M. 17. Mane E. H. 25. Taiwo A.	1. Eydsteinsson S. (G) 17. Benjaminsen J. (C) 4. Romo Lillo T. 5. Ronnberg V. 16. Egilsson M. 27. Ness F. O. 9. Agnarsson H. 30. Hellisdal M. 8. Heyden J. 7. Nielsen B. 21. Sojberg A.
Substitutes
24. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 77. Camara O. 79. Kone I. 23. Korotkovs I. 16. Lucas Ramos 22. Ogunji O. 71. Rubenis O. 14. Saveljevs A. 1. Sturins R. (G) 10. Traore A. K.	22. Dahl-Olsen G. 11. Dalugge Z. 26. Hansen R. 29. Hansen T. 18. Heinesen B. 28. Joensen M. W. 24. Lindh M. 23. Mikkelsen C. 25. Mork B. (G) 10. Przybylski M. 3. Solheim S.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Hoseth M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Ronnberg V. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Taiwo A. ⚽, Mane E. H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nielsen B. ↓, Dalugge Z. ↑,
46', Heyden J. ↓, Przybylski M. ↑,
59', Agnarsson H. ↓, Lindh M. ↑,
64', Mane E. H. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
69', Romo Lillo T. ↓, Heinesen B. ↑,
76', Talla M. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
79', Ness F. O. ↓, Hansen R. ↑,
83', Melniks D. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
83', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
83', Hrvoj T. ↓, Ogunji O. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Traore A. K. ⚽, Kone I. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Auda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

B36 Torshavn is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

B36 Torshavn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Auda have a series of home games.

In this match Auda is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.24	Auda Riga - Valmiera	0:1 ✺
02.07.24	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
21.06.24	Auda Riga - RFS	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	Auda Riga - Metta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- B36 Torshavn
Faroe Islands Premier League
04.07.24	KÍ Klaksvík - B36 Torshavn	4:2 ✺
29.06.24	B36 Torshavn - Skála ÍF	3:0 ✺
23.06.24	ÍF Fuglafjørður - B36 Torshavn	3:4 ✺
Faroe Islands Cup
19.06.24	B36 Torshavn - Tvøroyrar Bóltfelag	3:0 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
15.06.24	B36 Torshavn - B68 Toftir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWT

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