Match Info

Virsliga - Round 30

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Riga		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.30	5.00	7.00
	1.36	4.70	6.10	Watch
	1.29	5.69	9.98
	1.33	5.18	7.92	Watch
	1.26	5.60	9.85
	1.33	5.57	7.24	Watch
	1.28	5.00	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.58)	5.25 ↑ (3.85)	7.9 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
70.7%

Draw
17.6%

Auda Riga
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Riga - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Riga (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. (C) 21. Musah B. 33. Paulo Eduardo 17. Salazar A. 40. Ankrah A. 8. Iago Siqueira 22. Diop M. 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 7. Aouani R. 19. Badamosi M.	98. Purins N. (C) 3. Balodis D. 6. Kragliks R. 4. Ouedraogo M. 71. Rubenis O. 20. Traore Y. 25. Diedhiou B. 10. Fofana W. 23. Fofana M. 46. Gerold J. 7. Appiah A.
Substitutes
99. Caio Ferreira 34. Cernomordijs A. 4. Galo O. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 12. Piric K. (G) 10. Reginaldo Ramires 15. Robalo Pedro S. L. 23. Tonisevs M. 5. Wassom K.	80. Aranda S. 21. Bocs R. 17. Daskevics E. 42. Fofana M. 19. Koume S. 77. Minins J. 22. Ogunji A. 30. Pena B. 1. Sturins R. (G)
Coaches
Gula A.	Zanetti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Oulad M'Hand S. ⚽,
42', Paulo Eduardo ↓, Cernomordijs A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Traore Y. 🟨,
54', Fofana W. ↓, Daskevics E. ↑,
54', Gerold J. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
56', Kragliks R. 🟨,
64', Diop M. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
64', Iago Siqueira ↓, Galo O. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Caio Ferreira ⚽, Salazar A. (A),
71', Diedhiou B. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
71', Fofana M. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Appiah A. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
80', Salazar A. 🟨,
81', Badamosi M. ↓, Reginaldo Ramires ↑,
81', Rubenis O. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
81', Salazar A. ↓, Tonisevs M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Appiah A. ⚽,
90+5', Zanetti D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 4.

Riga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Auda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Auda has had a series of home games.

In this match, Riga is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:11. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Riga FC	32	23	7	2	88:30	58	76
3	Auda ✔	32	19	7	6	52:32	20	64

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
07.09.26	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
03.09.26	RFS - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
31.08.26	Liepāja - Riga	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Riga - KÍ Klaksvík	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
23.08.26	RFS - Riga	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLWT
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
06.09.26	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	1:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
02.09.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	2:3 penalties ✺
Latvian Virsliga
29.08.26	Auda Riga - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
29.06.26	Auda Riga - Riga	0:2
12.05.26	Riga - Auda Riga	4:1
20.03.26	Auda Riga - Riga	1:2
Latvian Cup
29.10.25	Riga - Auda Riga	1:2
Latvian Virsliga
13.09.25	Riga - Auda Riga	6:0
27.06.25	Auda Riga - Riga	1:3
05.05.25	Auda Riga - Riga	1:3

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