Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Auda Riga		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	1.44	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	4.3 ↑ (4.05)	7 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
64.9%

Draw
21.7%

Cliftonville
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.7%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auda Riga's performance.

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Auda Riga - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: Auda Riga will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zviedris K. (C) 2. Hrvoj T. 15. Ouedraogo M. 37. Bosancic P. 49. Tavares B. 11. Ogunniyi A. 21. Melniks D. 7. Clemente M. 17. Mane E. H. 25. Taiwo A. 70. Talla M.	1. Odumosu D. (G) 12. Leppard S. 5. Newberry M. 4. Addis J. (C) 14. Conlan L. 17. Doherty R. 2. Pepper C. 16. Gordon S. 7. Kearney S. 10. Donnelly R. 9. Curran R.
Substitutes
77. Camara O. 26. Isajevs V. 79. Kone I. 23. Korotkovs I. 16. Lucas Ramos 22. Ogunji O. 71. Rubenis O. 14. Saveljevs A. 1. Sturins R. (G) 10. Traore A. K.	29. Berry J. 23. Breen D. (G) 37. Corrigan R. 19. Gormley J. 15. Jordan R. 28. McGuinness S. 35. Murray O. (G) 41. Sheridan J. 3. Stewart S. 32. Wylie B.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Pepper C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Ogunniyi A. ⚽,
59', Melniks D. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Taiwo A. ⚽, Clemente M. (A),
63', Pepper C. ↓, Gormley J. ↑,
64', Leppard S. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
69', Conlan L. 🟨,
70', Mane E. H. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
73', Curran R. ↓, Corrigan R. ↑,
77', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
77', Clemente M. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
80', Doherty R. ↓, Wylie B. ↑,
80', Donnelly R. ↓, Berry J. ↑,
85', Tavares B. ↓, Ogunji O. ↑,
85', Talla M. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Auda in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cliftonville is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Auda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Auda have a series of guest games.

In this match Auda is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Auda to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Auda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
28.07.24	Jelgava - Auda Riga	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Cliftonville - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
21.07.24	Auda Riga - Liepāja	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.24	B36 Torshavn - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	Mārupe - Auda Riga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- Cliftonville FC
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Cliftonville - Southport	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Cliftonville - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Finn Harps - Cliftonville	1:1 ✺
Northern Irish Charity Shield
05.07.24	Larne - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Cliftonville - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Cliftonville - Auda Riga	1:2

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