Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 7

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Inver Park (Larne)

Referee: Dillon M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Larne		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.90	4.50
	1.45	4.25	5.5
	1.5	4.5	6.52
	1.52	4.18	5.28	Watch
	1.48	4.25	6.35
	1.42	4.15	6.22
	1.47	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	4.2 ↑ (3.95)	5.68 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Larne
61.8%

Draw
22%

Cliftonville
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Larne's performance.

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Larne - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Larne (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 15. Doherty R. 4. Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 9. O'Neill P. 3. Ridley M. 25. Sloan D.	31. Morrison P. (G) 25. Bannon A. 14. Conlan L. 10. Healy B. 12. Leppard S. 15. McClelland K. 16. McMaster D. 27. McStravick L. 20. Quinn B. 41. Sheridan J. 17. Thompson J.
Substitutes
16. Carney J. (G) 45. Gibson M. 22. McEneff J. 21. Millar L. 8. Randall M. 47. Simpson J. 2. Wallace L.	7. Campbell R. 22. Cremen Cowan J. (G) 19. Gormley J. 8. Hale R. 4. O’Connor D. 3. Samuels O. 2. Wightman A.
Coaches
Haveron G.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Lusty M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Lusty M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', McStravick L. 🟨,
73', O'Neill P. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
73', Sloan D. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
82', Lusty M. ↓, Gibson M. ↑,
82', Doherty R. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 2.

Larne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cliftonville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Larne is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Larne will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:14. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 2.1:0.6).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Larne: 29.31% Cliftonville: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Larne	6	5	1	0	12:3	9	16
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Larne - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.42%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
12.09.26	Portadown - Larne	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Larne - Bangor	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Larne - Glentoran	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Larne - Lincoln Red Imps	0:3 AET ✺
20.08.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Larne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
12.09.26	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Cliftonville - Portadown	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bangor - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
28.03.26	Larne - Cliftonville	2:0
30.12.25	Larne - Cliftonville	0:0
18.10.25	Cliftonville - Larne	0:2
19.08.25	Cliftonville - Larne	1:1
Northern Irish League Cup
14.01.25	Larne - Cliftonville	0:1 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
10.01.25	Larne - Cliftonville	2:0
01.12.24	Larne - Cliftonville	1:1

Upcoming Matches