Match Info

Virsliga - Round 26

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs (Jelgava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jelgava		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.60	3.25	1.85
	3.40	3.40	1.91	Watch
	3.98	3.54	1.92
	3.25	3.49	2.11	Watch
	3.75	3.50	1.89
	3.64	3.36	1.89	Watch
	3.55	3.25	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)	3.4 ↓ (3.53)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelgava
25.5%

Draw
26.9%

Auda Riga
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

25.7%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.9%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jelgava - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: Auda Riga will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dvorak A. (G) 13. Novikovs J. 27. Alekseiciks K. 4. Kangars A. 19. Petersons A. (C) 11. Hasek M. 29. Zaleiko G. 22. Pudil M. 8. Melkis R. 24. Hasek F. 17. Rataj T.	1. Sturins R. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. (C) 6. Kragliks R. 4. Ouedraogo M. 80. Aranda S. 77. Minins J. 23. Fofana M. 10. Fofana W. 46. Gerold J. 7. Appiah A. 47. Kone K.
Substitutes
9. Becers R. 23. Dreimanis A. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 3. Semesko M. 18. Smaukstelis E.	12. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 8. Bongemba E. 17. Daskevics E. 25. Diedhiou B. 42. Fofana M. 26. Lusweki H. 30. Pena B. 71. Rubenis O. 20. Traore Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Zaleiko G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Minins J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hrvoj T. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
46', Kone K. ↓, Lusweki H. ↑,
46', Fofana W. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
46', Rubenis O. 🟨,
54', Kragliks R. 🟨,
58', Fofana M. 🟨,
65', Hasek F. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
65', Rataj T. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
74', Fofana M. ↓,
75', Fofana M. 🟨,
85', Gerold J. 🟨,
85', Pudil M. ↓, Kacanovs G. ↑,
85', Petersons A. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
90', Zaleiko G. ↓, Smaukstelis E. ↑,
90+1', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
90+4', Pena B. 🟨,
90+6', Daskevics E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.

Jelgava is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Auda is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Auda has had a series of home games.

Auda could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Auda will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
7	Jelgava	31	8	8	15	32:49	-17	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
01.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Jelgava - RFS	0:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	RFS - Jelgava	2:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
03.07.26	Riga - Jelgava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Auda Riga
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.26	Auda Riga - Dinamo City	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Auda Riga - FCSB	4:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
26.07.26	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	FCSB - Auda Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
13.06.26	Auda Riga - Jelgava	1:1
21.04.26	Jelgava - Auda Riga	2:3
27.09.25	Jelgava - Auda Riga	1:1
05.07.25	Auda Riga - Jelgava	2:0
15.05.25	Jelgava - Auda Riga	3:1
30.03.25	Auda Riga - Jelgava	2:0
21.10.24	Auda Riga - Jelgava	3:0

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