Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Audace Cerignola		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.55
	1.74	3.57	4.96
	1.62	3.58	5.55	Watch
	1.7	3.35	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.48 ↓ (3.64)	4.95 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
54.6%

Draw
26.6%

Cavese
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

19.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Audace Cerignola - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greco S. (G) 2. Todisco G. 15. Ligi A. 45. Cocorocchio M. 4. Vitale G. 10. Paolucci L. 11. Bianchini G. 58. Cretella C. 3. Russo L. 90. Emmausso M. 29. Cuppone L.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. (C) 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 23. Munari D. 5. Awua T. 28. Macchi M. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 82. Fusco G.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. 7. Dabizas A. 33. D'Orazio L. 22. Fares G. (G) 23. Gasbarro A. 71. Ianzano D. 31. Iliev V. (G) 93. Labranca R. 24. Moreso O. 99. Parlato C. 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.	8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 13. Evangelisti N. 21. Fornito G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 14. Pelamatti A. 18. Piana L. 4. Suplja E. 16. Ubaldi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Fusco G. ⚽,
30', Todisco G. 🟨,
37', Cuppone L. 🟨,
44', Cionek T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Amerighi I. ↓, Suplja E. ↑,
46', Bianchini G. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
52', Greco S. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Sorrentino D. (Pen),
60', 1 - 2, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
62', Emmausso M. ↓, Dabizas A. ↑,
67', Ligi A. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
71', Sorrentino D. ↓, Guida A. ↑,
71', Fusco G. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
77', Cretella C. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
77', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
81', Awua T. ↓, Fornito G. ↑,
83', Macchi M. ↓, Piana L. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Ubaldi L. ⚽,
90+4', (Pen),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Audace Cerignola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cavese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Audace Cerignola is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Catania	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Salernitana - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWT
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Cavese - Trapani	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Salernitana - Cavese	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Monopoli - Cavese	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Cavese - Latina	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Casarano - Cavese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.25	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	0:2
24.11.24	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	3:1
Italian Serie D - Play Offs
13.05.18	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.02.18	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	1:2
08.10.17	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	2:0

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