Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.50	2.95
	2.08	3.15	3.00	Watch
	2.07	3.67	3.37
	2.27	3.45	2.79	Watch
	2.04	3.60	3.20
	2.02	3.62	3.36	Watch
	2.06	3.50	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 (2.08)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
44.2%

Draw
26.2%

Audace Cerignola
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Casarano - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Farroni A. (G) 2. Ciotti P. 36. Matino E. 34. Negro S. 33. Mercadante M. 21. Zanellato N. 17. Maiello R. (C) 23. Logoluso G. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 37. Cuzzarella C.	22. Viola A. (G) 55. Cocorocchio M. 23. Gasbarro A. (C) 24. Romano A. 27. Boccadamo A. 58. Cretella C. 68. Sellaf M. 4. Vitale G. 33. Perlingieri M. 7. Vinciguerra A. 14. Padula C.
Substitutes
1. Bacchin F. (G) 11. Ferrara V. 29. Gyamfi B. 7. Knezovic B. 46. Leonetti V. 8. N’Diaye A. 6. Obleac M. 77. Palumbo F. 99. Patierno C. 30. Podrini F. 27. Versienti L.	21. Casarosa M. 45. Cilenti A. 10. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D. 18. Guaragna C. 19. Iorio A. 2. Kurti A. 73. Meli M. 44. Miranda K. 8. Moreso O. 20. Nanula M. 77. Pinotti M. 80. Seminari G. 37. Silvestro A. 1. Vailati A. (G)
Coaches
Di Bari V.	Catalano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Ciotti P. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
45+4', Grandolfo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zanellato N. ↓, Ferrara V. ↑,
61', Vitale G. 🟨,
61', Vinciguerra A. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
61', Sellaf M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
61', Padula C. ↓, Gambale D. ↑,
67', Cuzzarella C. ↓, Versienti L. ↑,
67', Grandolfo F. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
68', Romano A. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
77', Maiello R. ↓, Knezovic B. ↑,
79', Negro S. ↓, Obleac M. ↑,
84', Perlingieri M. ↓, Pinotti M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Casarano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.26	Casarano - Barletta	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Casarano - Giugliano	4:3 ✺
21.08.26	Potenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	1:0
06.10.21	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	2:0
02.05.21	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	5:0
10.01.21	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	5:3

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