Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Audace Cerignola		Molfetta

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	8
	1.3	5	7
	1.35	4.4	6.2
	1.33	4.66	6.96
	1.33	4.2	7
	1.36	4.75	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	4.6 ↑ (3.95)	7.04 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
67.7%

Draw
19.6%

Molfetta
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

12.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Molfetta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-32.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molfetta than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molfetta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Audace Cerignola - Molfetta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Audace Cerignola in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Molfetta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molfetta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Audace Cerignola is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Audace Cerignola is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.01.22	Città di Fasano - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
26.01.22	Audace Cerignola - San Giorgio	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Sorrento - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
19.01.22	Città di Brindisi - Audace Cerignola	0:4 ✺
12.12.21	Audace Cerignola - Rotonda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWW
- Molfetta Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.01.22	Molfetta - Lavello	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Molfetta - Nardo	5:0 ✺
22.12.21	Casertana - Molfetta	2:4 ✺
19.12.21	Molfetta - Bisceglie	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Gravina - Molfetta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
26.09.21	Molfetta - Audace Cerignola	1:1
07.03.21	Audace Cerignola - Molfetta	4:4

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