The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sorrento 16.3%
Draw 23%
Audace Cerignola 60.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
28.2%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
25.8%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorrento's form might have worsened.
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Audace Cerignola's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorrento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-22%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Sorrento - Audace Cerignola Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Harrasser S. (G) 15. Solcia D. 32. Carillo L. 46. Colombini L. 33. Paglino S. 17. Riccardi P. 23. Cangianiello S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 3. Crecco L. 7. D'Ursi E. 9. Plescia V.
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 23. Gasbarro A. 5. Martinelli L. 3. Russo L. 4. Vitale G. 11. Bianchini G. 10. Paolucci L. 99. Parlato C. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
10. Bolsius D. 1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 11. Esposito M. 21. Matera A. 2. Piras M. 4. Potenza A. 19. Russo D. 90. Sabbatani A. 29. Santini C. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M.
17. Ballabile E. 45. Cocorocchio M. 58. Cretella C. 7. Dabizas A. 90. Emmausso M. 22. Fares G. (G) 19. Giuliodori G. 71. Ianzano D. 20. Miguel Angel 24. Moreso O. 12. Rizzuto A. (G) 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Martinelli L. ⚽,
20', Riccardi P. 🟨,
31', Martinelli L. 🟨,
45+3', Crecco L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Riccardi P. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Gambale D. ⚽,
55', Crecco L. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
64', D'Orazio L. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
64', Bianchini G. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
71', Paglino S. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
79', Cuccurullo M. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
80', Sabbatani A. 🟨,
85', Parlato C. ↓, Cocorocchio M. ↑,
85', Russo L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
86', Colombini L. 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, Bolsius D. ⚽,
90+5', Carillo L. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1.
Sorrento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Audace Cerignola's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sorrento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Audace Cerignola will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Italy
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Harrasser S. (G) 
Iliev V. (G) 
Bianchini G. 
Bolsius D. 
Shaw K. 
Dabizas A. 
Miguel Angel 
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