Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Audace Cerignola		Viterbese

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.84	3	4.25
	1.88	3.05	3.8
	1.9	3.07	4.27
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.85	3.4	3.86	Watch
	1.87	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.15)	3.15 ↑ (3)	3.95 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
48.4%

Draw
28.7%

Viterbese
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Audace Cerignola's performance.

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viterbese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Audace Cerignola - Viterbese Predictions

Users Predictions: Audace Cerignola will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Audace Cerignola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Viterbese have a series of home games.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
20.11.22	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
13.11.22	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Audace Cerignola - Turris	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Pescara - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWL
- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.11.22	Viterbese - Crotone	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Viterbese - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
13.11.22	Taranto - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Viterbese - Potenza	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Viterbese - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLTW

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