Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday


	Virtus Francavilla		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.4
	2.85	3	2.5	Watch
	3.05	3	2.57
	3.05	2.88	2.57
	2.8	3	2.38
	2.82	3.02	2.41
	2.8	2.95	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.5)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
31.9%

Draw
31%

Audace Cerignola
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 5. Monteagudo J. C. 40. Accardi A. 3. De Marino D. 7. Biondi K. 8. Di Marco T. 21. Risolo A. 30. Macca F. 17. Carella F. 90. Giovinco G. 10. Polidori A.	1. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Coccia G. 23. Gonnelli L. 8. Bianco R. 3. Russo L. 24. Ruggiero Z. 29. Tascone M. 11. Leonetti V. 10. D'Ausilio M. 9. Malcore G. 17. D'Andrea F.
Substitutes
1. Carretta F. (G) 37. Castiglia A. 31. Enyan E. 77. Fornito G. 19. Izzillo N. 80. Latagliata M. 18. Lo Duca L. 33. Martina C. 25. Serio S. 20. Vantaggiato D. 29. Vapore A. 26. Yakubiv S. 11. Zuppel D.	18. Bezzon A. 16. Botta M. 5. Capomaggio G. 12. Fares G. (G) 91. Neglia S. 14. Prati B. 44. Sosa F. 22. Trezza S. (G) 27. Vitale M.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Audace Cerignola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.12.23	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Nuova Monterosi - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
03.12.23	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Turris - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Audace Cerignola - Catania	1:0 ✺
06.11.23	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.03.23	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
06.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	1:1

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