Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday


	Viterbese		Giugliano

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.14	3.15	3.05
	2.08	3.1	3.05
	2.06	2.97	3.16
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.11	3.22	3.24	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.7)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)	3.12 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
42.2%

Draw
29.1%

Giugliano
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

32.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viterbese's performance.

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giugliano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viterbese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giugliano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Viterbese - Giugliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Viterbese will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Giugliano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viterbese: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Viterbese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Viterbese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.12.22	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Viterbese - Turris	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.12.22	Viterbese - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Nuova Monterosi - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
30.11.22	Viterbese - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLT
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.12.22	Giugliano - Crotone	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Potenza - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Giugliano - Foggia	3:2 ✺
30.11.22	Catanzaro - Giugliano	3:0 ✺
27.11.22	Fidelis Andria - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Viterbese - Giugliano	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.22	Giugliano - Viterbese	2:0

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