Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 7

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday


	Audax RJ U20		Nova Iguaçu U20

	1	X	2
	2.24	3.24	2.75
				Watch
	2.37	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.38)	2.78 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax RJ U20
39.2%

Draw
28.3%

Nova Iguaçu U20
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax RJ U20's form might have worsened.

Nova Iguaçu U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nova Iguaçu U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax RJ U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu U20 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Iguaçu U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Audax RJ U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 🟥,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Audax RJ U20 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nova Iguaçu U20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax RJ U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Audax RJ U20 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
05.07.24	Audax RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Vasco da Gama U20 - Audax RJ U20	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Audax RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:3 ✺
14.06.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Audax RJ U20	1:1 ✺
10.06.24	Audax RJ U20 - Bangu U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTLTL
- Nova Iguaçu U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
13.07.24	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Boavista SC U20	4:1 ✺
06.07.24	Madureira U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	1:0 ✺
12.06.24	Fluminense U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	3:0 ✺
08.06.24	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

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