Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Audax Rio		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.51
	6	3.6	1.52
	5.82	3.53	1.49
	6.33	3.71	1.51
	6.22	3.65	1.51
	6	3.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↓ (6.11)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
15%

Draw
25%

Nova Iguaçu
59.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.8%

26.7%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

26.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Nova Iguaçu aligns with the current prediction.

Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Victor Rangel ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 1.

Recent matches Audax Rio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nova Iguaçu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audax Rio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nova Iguaçu is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Audax Rio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.06.24	Artsul - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
19.06.24	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
15.06.24	Audax Rio - Noroeste	1:2 ✺
12.06.24	Ipatinga - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWLW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Ipatinga	1:1 ✺
12.06.24	Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ipatinga - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.05.24	Nova Iguaçu - Audax Rio	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.02.24	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	1:2
26.03.23	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	1:0
18.03.23	Nova Iguaçu - Audax Rio	1:1
25.01.23	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	1:1
23.03.22	Nova Iguaçu - Audax Rio	2:1
19.03.22	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	1:2

Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu