Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 10

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Portuguesa RJ		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.49	3.6	5.6
	1.5	3.14	5.33
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.48	3.74	6.53
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)	3.62 ↓ (4.1)	5.92 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
60.2%

Draw
24.7%

Audax Rio
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

23%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

22.4%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa RJ's form might have worsened.

Audax Rio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Hernane Brocador ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Hernane Brocador ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
19.06.24	Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Serra	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Serra - Portuguesa RJ	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata SL	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWWT
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
19.06.24	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
15.06.24	Audax Rio - Noroeste	1:2 ✺
12.06.24	Ipatinga - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
08.06.24	Audax Rio - Ipatinga	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
05.06.24	Audax Rio - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.05.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	1:1
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	1:0
03.03.23	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	1:1
29.01.22	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	1:0

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