Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 10

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nova Iguaçu		Itabuna

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.87	3.2	4
	1.8	3.2	4.01
	1.76	2.82	4.02
	1.74	3.13	4.98
	1.87	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)	3.13 ↑ (3)	4.19 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
49.8%

Draw
28.7%

Itabuna
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Iguaçu's performance.

Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Iguaçu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Victor Rangel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Nova Iguaçu is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
16.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Ipatinga	1:1 ✺
12.06.24	Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ipatinga - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWTT
- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Serie D
16.06.24	Serra - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Itabuna - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Democrata SL - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Itabuna - Serra	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.05.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:0
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:8

Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna