The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Xelajú 70.1%
Draw 19.9%
Aurora 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
22.9%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xelajú's performance.
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Xelajú - Aurora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
. Alvarez M. (G) . Cardenas S. . Cardona J. . Castaneda J. . Diaz Y. . Gonzalez J. . Lopez A. . Monreal E. . Quezada Gamez H. E. . Ruiz K. . Tebalan W.
. Sanchez L. (G) . Bajan D. . Flores C. . Garcia K. . Grajeda J. . Ibarguen E. . Lemus J. . Mingorance P. . Monterroso C. . Morales H. . Ticuru J.
Substitutes
. Calderon R. . Cardoza E. . Casas D. . de Leon M. . Gonzalez E. . Lopez A. . Mejia O. . Sican E. (G) . Ubico J.
. Alvarez J. . Batres J. . Del Cid H. . Diaz A. . Hernandez R. . Navas D. (G) . Ruiz D. . Urias V. . Vivas J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Cardenas S. ⚽,
30', Mingorance P. 🟥,
36', Diaz Y. 🟥,
38', Monreal E. ↓, Mejia O. ↑,
39', Ibarguen E. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
41', Mejia O. 🟨,
45+1', Ruiz K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mejia O. ↓, de Leon M. ↑,
58', Grajeda J. ↓, Vivas J. ↑,
58', Ticuru J. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
59', Morales H. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Monterroso C. (Own goal),
66', Quezada Gamez H. E. ↓, Casas D. ↑,
72', Lemus J. ↓, Batres J. ↑,
73', Morales H. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
77', Cardona J. ↓, Ubico J. ↑,
77', Cardenas S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Ruiz D. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Vivas J. 🟥,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Xelajú is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).