Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Malacateco		Aurora

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.52	3.9	5.15
	1.51	4.48	5.45
	1.54	4.41	5.21	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.48	4.1	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	4.07 ↑ (4.01)	5.22 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
60.1%

Draw
22.4%

Aurora
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Malacateco - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Malacateco will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Jimenez M. (G) 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 7. de Leon F. 21. Lopez A. 77. Martinez L. 6. Morales A. 10. Ochoa J. 2. Palencia D. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G.	22. Sanchez L. (G) 17. Bajan D. (C) 49. Campos G. 2. Cardona L. 25. Diaz A. 64. Gonzalez L. 10. Lovato N. 4. Monterroso C. 30. Soriano B. 28. Ticuru J. 20. Vivas J.
Substitutes
11. Andrade N. . Demci J. 30. Guzman A. (G) 17. Meneses R. 31. Perez S. 24. Quinteros F. 23. Roskopf M. 9. Trigueno J. 20. Vasquez G.	23. Alvarez J. 27. Arevalo J. . Gomez D. . Hernandez Lainfiesta M. S. . López 59. Morales Aguilar A. 7. Motta P. 1. Navas D. (G) . Trujillo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Vivas J. ↓, Motta P. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽,
44', Perez Ochoa C. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ochoa J. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
46', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
56', Trigueno J. 🟨,
59', Sanchez L. 🟨,
60', Soriano B. 🟨,
64', Campos G. 🟨,
71', Palencia D. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
73', de Leon F. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Own goal),
76', 🟨,
84', Trigueno J. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Malacateco has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aurora is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Malacateco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Malacateco is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.03.26	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Marquense - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Municipal - Aurora	4:1 ✺
11.03.26	Mictlán - Aurora	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Aurora - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.02.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0
10.12.25	Aurora - Malacateco	2:1
06.12.25	Malacateco - Aurora	1:0
08.11.25	Malacateco - Aurora	1:0
07.09.25	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0

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