Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Aurora Alto Casertano		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.6	2.05
	3.7	3.1	1.9
	3.65	2.85	1.98
	4	2.45	2.14
	3.84	3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.57)	2.8 ↓ (2.92)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora Alto Casertano
23.3%

Draw
32.1%

Sambenedettese
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

29.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

22.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora Alto Casertano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora Alto Casertano than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aurora Alto Casertano - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Alto Casertano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sambenedettese will have a small advantage in this match.

Sambenedettese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Alto Casertano
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.12.21	Matese - Aurora Alto Casertano	4:1 ✺
12.12.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Chieti	1:2 ✺
08.12.21	Vastese - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:0 ✺
05.12.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Castelfidardo	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.12.21	Sambenedettese - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.12.21	Sambenedettese - Recanatese	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.12.21	Montegiorgio - Sambenedettese	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Notaresco - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Sambenedettese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLTW

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