Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 24

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)


	Sambenedettese		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.75	3.75	3.6
	1.81	3.43	3.83
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.24	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	3.97 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
51.2%

Draw
26.1%

Tolentino
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Sambenedettese - Tolentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Tolentino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sambenedettese is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Sambenedettese - Nuova Florida	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Notaresco - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Sambenedettese - Chieti	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Cynthialbalonga - Sambenedettese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLL
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Tolentino - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Tolentino - Matese	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Fano - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Tolentino - Termoli	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Vastese - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.10.22	Tolentino - Sambenedettese	1:3
25.05.22	Tolentino - Sambenedettese	0:1
11.05.22	Tolentino - Sambenedettese	0:0
19.12.21	Sambenedettese - Tolentino	1:0

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