Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 27

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.85	1.93
	4.04	3.01	2
	4.04	3.01	1.9
	3.98	3.08	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.84)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
22.8%

Draw
30.4%

Lagun Onak
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

29.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Bengoechea A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lagun Onak will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	Vitoria - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Padura - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Touring KE	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	San Ignacio - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWTWT
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	Lagun Onak - Basconia	1:2 ✺
15.03.24	Añorga - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Lagun Onak - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Deusto - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lagun Onak - Leioa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.11.23	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0
11.02.23	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1
09.10.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak	0:2
20.02.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak	0:1
16.10.21	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide