Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 26

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Lagun Onak		Basconia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.27	2.84	3.2
	2.27	2.84	3.2
	2.28	2.83	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.43)	2.83 ↑ (2.76)	3.22 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagun Onak
39.9%

Draw
32%

Basconia
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

32.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

33.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lagun Onak won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Basconia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lagun Onak won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Lagun Onak won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.03.24	Añorga - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Lagun Onak - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Deusto - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lagun Onak - Leioa	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Durango - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLWW
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.03.24	Basconia - Vitoria	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Pasaia - Basconia	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Basconia - Padura	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Touring KE - Basconia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Basconia - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	Basconia - Lagun Onak	2:1
18.02.23	Basconia - Lagun Onak	1:1
15.10.22	Lagun Onak - Basconia	1:1
12.03.22	Lagun Onak - Basconia	2:1
07.11.21	Basconia - Lagun Onak	3:1
01.11.20	Basconia - Lagun Onak	3:0
01.12.19	Basconia - Lagun Onak	3:1

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