Match Info

Date: 14 August 2021, Saturday


	Austin Bold		Miami

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.05	3.2
	2.2	3.05	2.95
	2.26	3.36	3.23
	2.15	3.3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	3.19 ↓ (3.44)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin Bold
42.4%

Draw
28.6%

Miami
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

18.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin Bold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin Bold that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Austin Bold - Miami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5).

Austin has the most likely position - 6 (32.91%), has project points - 44, has currently - 23, has a chance of playoffs (40%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Miami has the most likely position - 3 (29.85%), has project points - 52, has currently - 30, has a good chance of playoffs (85%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Recent matches Austin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miami is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Austin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Austin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin Bold
USL Championship
07.08.21	El Paso Locomotive - Austin Bold	3:0 ✺
04.08.21	Austin Bold - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
31.07.21	Austin Bold - San Antonio	0:3 ✺
24.07.21	Rio Grande Valley - Austin Bold	1:1 ✺
18.07.21	Austin Bold - Real Monarchs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTW
- Miami FC
USL Championship
11.08.21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	2:3 ✺
04.08.21	Hartford Athletic - Miami	1:1 ✺
01.08.21	Miami - Charleston Battery	3:2 ✺
24.07.21	Hartford Athletic - Miami	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWLW

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